引導語：GRE寫作對很多同學來說都是GRE考試的難點所在，那麼到底應該如何攻克GRE寫作呢?應屆畢業生培訓網在此就和大家分享一下GRE Argument思路解析，希望能夠幫助到您。
解析一
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
步驟：夏天人口增多 + 摩托車是主要交通工具 → 到了夏天摩托車引起的事故會增多
假設：夏天增多的人口會造成嚴重的摩托車問題
反例：城市交通秩序好，摩托車司機都很職業，很守規矩，歷年來都沒出什麼事故
補充證據：往年夏天的摩托車事故率
步驟：SV執行了摩托車禁令 + 之後SV的事故減少50% → 是禁令減少的事故
假設：沒有它因
反例：道路拓寬;司機培訓更嚴格;交通法規更嚴格;警察多了
補充證據：……
步驟：SV成功 → BI成功
假設：兩城的租賃摩托車都是主要摩托車的來源;過去兩城摩托車都能夠租出去
反例：SV的摩托車都是租的，但是BI的摩托車都是私家的;SV的都租出去了，但是BI的本來就租不到每天25輛
補充證據：兩城摩托車的主要來源;既往摩托車每天實際租賃量
步驟：BI成功減少夏天的事故→全年事故的減少
假設：夏天的事故是全年事故的主要來源
反例：夏天路況好，人多不是事故的來源。全年事故主要來源於冬天路面結冰。而冬天車輛沒減少，所以事故不會減少50%
證據：全年的事故數量變化表。
解析二
The following appeared as a letter to the editor from a Central Plaza store owner.
"Over the past two years, the number of shoppers in Central Plaza has been steadily decreasing while the popularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically. Many Central Plaza store owners believe that the decrease in their business is due to the number of skateboard users in the plaza. There has also been a dramatic increase in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. Thus, we recommend that the city prohibit skateboarding in Central Plaza. If skateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
步驟：滑板增多之後生意下降;店主的話 → 滑板導致生意下降
假設：沒有它因;店主的話可靠
反例：店主經營不善;經濟危機;網購增多
補充證據：商店策略的變化;社會經濟環境的變化;消費習慣的變化
步驟：滑板增多之後垃圾和破壞公物增多→滑板導致
假設：沒有它因
反例：管理不善
補充證據：調查plaza對於環境維護的投入的變化
步驟：滑板導致生意下降→禁止滑板可以使生意恢復
假設：滑板沒有造成plaza聲譽的毀滅性打擊
反例：滑板徹底使得消費者對plaza失去興趣，並在其它地方形成了新的商業區，形成了固定的消費行為
補充證據：消費者目前有沒有形成新的消費區域
解析三
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"The population on Balmer Island increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island plans to limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island's six moped rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season. Last year, the neighboring island of Torseau enforced similar limits on moped rentals and saw a 50 percent reduction in moped accidents. We predict that putting these limits into effect on Balmer Island will result in the same reduction in moped accidents."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
173. The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
